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Entity watchlist · Government & policy

U.S. Treasury

High watch

Issuer and manager of federal debt. Tracked for auctions, buybacks, debt statistics, and cash management.

Also tracked as: treasury, treasury department

Research files tracking U.S. Treasury

Evergreen briefSep 11, 2026Mixed

Capstone Metals' Current Events Intelligence Guide

How Capstone monitors, verifies and explains economic geopolitics, currency trends, gold and the dollar without turning every headline into a sales pitch.

Why it matters: World events can influence confidence, interest rates, currencies, supply chains and metals demand. They can also generate dramatic claims that outrun the evidence. This guide e…

Confidence 95%Read the research file
Evergreen briefSep 10, 2026Mixed

Death to the Dollar? BRICS vs. G7 Data Explained

BRICS leads on PPP, population and parts of the commodity economy. The G7 still leads in nominal output and financial depth. Here is what that means for the dollar.

Why it matters: Talk of the “death of the dollar” often combines three different stories: BRICS economic growth, the G7’s changing share of world output, and efforts to use fewer dollars in sel…

Confidence 93%Read the research file
DevelopingFeb 28, 2026Mixed

Berkshire's $369 Billion: What Buffett's "Cash Pile" Actually Is

Berkshire Hathaway ended 2025 with $369.0 billion of cash, cash equivalents and U.S. Treasury bills. Calling it "cash on the sidelines" hides what it is made of — and reading Buffett's mind beyond his own words is inference, not fact.

Why it matters: When the most-watched capital allocator alive holds a third of a trillion dollars in T-bills and writes to Washington about fiscal responsibility, both the position and the lett…

Confidence 85%Read the research file

Worked example — demonstration research file with verified sources

Evergreen briefOct 21, 2025Mixed

The "Debasement Trade": What the Evidence Shows — and What It Doesn't

Wall Street's name for a rotation into gold, silver and bitcoin on fiscal and currency worries. It is an investor narrative and positioning theme — not an established economic fact — and honest analysis has to hold both halves of that sentence.

Why it matters: If the narrative strengthens, flows into metals can persist for years. If it fades, late buyers chasing a story can be hurt. Either way, the underlying fiscal arithmetic — defic…

Confidence 60%Read the research file

Worked example — demonstration research file with verified sources

Evergreen briefMay 29, 2024Mixed

Treasury Buybacks Are Not the Government "Buying Back Its Debt"

A viral claim says the U.S. is buying back its own debt because nobody else wants it. That is not what the buyback program is. Here is what Treasury actually does, in Treasury's own terms — and the real distinctions that matter: gross debt, debt held by the public, issuance, redemption, liquidity and maturity management.

Why it matters: Fiscal reality is alarming enough without misstatements. Getting buybacks wrong discredits every legitimate concern about deficits and interest costs. Getting them right lets yo…

Confidence 90%Read the research file

Worked example — demonstration research file with verified sources

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